TSV Sasel vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NIE
3 - 1
SAS
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 4
PAL
32%
24%
45%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 2
OST
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
RUG
4 - 4
SAS
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
VIE
5 - 2
SAS
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
OST
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
5 - 2
BER
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
MEI
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
GER
2 - 3
BER
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
PAL
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |