Pansdorf vs SV Frisia 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
16º
15º
24
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pansdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOD
5 - 0
PAN
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
6 - 3
PAN
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
OLD
25%
19%
56%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 1
PAN
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 3
HEI
26%
20%
54%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SV Frisia 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
UNI
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 3
FRI
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 2
BOR
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
9 - 0
FRI
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
3 - 2
HUS
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |