Pansdorf vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
16º
15º
81
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pansdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
3 - 3
LUB
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WEF
8 - 1
PAN
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EIC
2 - 0
PAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 1
FRI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOD
5 - 0
PAN
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 1
BOR
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 0
KIL
49%
20%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
3 - 2
HEI
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HUS
0 - 7
KIL
15%
17%
69%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
9 - 1
GWS
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |