Nordmark Satrup vs SV Preußen Reinfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
11º
8º
23
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 2
DOR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EUT
1 - 0
NOR
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
KIL
23%
19%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
HOH
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRR
0 - 4
TRT
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
PRR
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 0
LUB
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
5 - 2
PRR
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PRR
2 - 2
OLD
43%
21%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |