Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
11º
8º
32
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
REH
0 - 1
NOR
10%
15%
76%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
4 - 1
GSC
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
TEL
0 - 4
NOR
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
KRO
4 - 2
NOR
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
TSR
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEF
50%
21%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
DOR
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 2
ECK
24%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
7 - 0
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 0
ITK
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |