TSV Nördlingen vs Unterhaching II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
12º
9º
12
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
TSV
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 3
ING
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
SCS
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Unterhaching II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 0
UNT
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 5
UNT
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 1
FVI
55%
20%
26%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
UNT
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 0
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |