TSV Nördlingen vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
12º
9º
7
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
TSV
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
TSV
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 0
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
TSV
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
DEI
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 2
MEM
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
RAI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
ERL
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
RAI
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |