TSV Nördlingen vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
12º
8º
34
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 1
186
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 1
TSV
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
HEI
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
RAI
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 3
DEI
35%
23%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |