TSV Nördlingen vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
12º
9º
9
1º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
RAI
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
TSV
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
TSV
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 7
DEI
50%
22%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 1
MEM
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |