TSV Nördlingen vs FC Pipinsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
12º
6º
14
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
18 | 61 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 59 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 54 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 51 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 47 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 28 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 26 |
17º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
TSV
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 0
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
TSV
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Pipinsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 1
DEI
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 0
MEM
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 3
TSA
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 1
TUR
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 0
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |