Meerbusch vs TVD Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
17º
9º
9
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
MEE
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MEE
1 - 3
SWE
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 0
MEE
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
MEE
4 - 2
KLE
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
2 - 3
MEE
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 2
HIL
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
6 - 1
TDV
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
4 - 0
TDV
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 2
SON
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 4
NET
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |