Meerbusch vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
17º
11º
7
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 78 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 65 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 61 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 60 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 52 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
3 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NET
2 - 1
MEE
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MEE
5 - 0
HSG
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 1
HIL
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 1
KLE
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 2
MEE
36%
24%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 3
SFB
23%
21%
56%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 3
KON
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SFB
3 - 1
VFB
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NET
2 - 1
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |