TSV Karlburg vs DJK Gebenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
18º
18º
26
10º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
92% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Karlburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 4
SCH
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TSK
3 - 4
FTS
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DJK
2 - 0
TSK
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
TSK
2 - 4
TFR
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 2
TSK
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
DJK
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DJK
4 - 5
TSV
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
DJK
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 8
DJK
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DJK
4 - 0
REG
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |