TSV Grünwald vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
12º
16º
17º
16
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Grünwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
KOT
23%
21%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ERL
3 - 1
TSV
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 4
186
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 2
TAM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
RAI
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
TSV
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
TSV
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 0
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |