TSV Grünwald vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
12º
16º
17º
18
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Grünwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 2
TAM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
TSV
22%
21%
56%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 2
TSV
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
EGD
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
TSV
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
186
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
186
47%
27%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
RAI
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TSA
2 - 2
186
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |