TSV Essingen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
7º
14º
8º
48
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
TSV
94%
4%
2%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 1
SGS
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 2
TSV
91%
6%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
DEN
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
MEM
9%
13%
79%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
OFF
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RAV
0 - 0
NOR
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
FCH
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REU
0 - 1
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
VFR
3 - 1
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |