TSV Essingen vs TSG Balingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
15º
18º
18º
27
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 65% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 0
TSV
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
19%
20%
62%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
PFO
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
TSV
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
REU
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
LEI
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |