Melchiorshausen vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VFL
3 - 3
MEL
83%
12%
5%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 6
WER
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 5
OSC
12%
18%
71%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OST
1 - 0
MEL
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 3
TUR
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 5
BRI
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VFL
0 - 3
SCH
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 3
WER
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 5
SCH
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |