TSV Buch vs SpVgg Erlangen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Buch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 3
TSB
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TSB
3 - 2
SCS
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 2
TSB
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TSB
3 - 0
SVM
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FSB
0 - 3
TSB
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
SCS
2 - 0
SVE
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SVE
0 - 2
SVM
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TSV
1 - 3
SVE
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SVE
2 - 3
MEM
15%
18%
66%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASV
5 - 2
SVE
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |