TSV Abtswind vs ATSV Erlangen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
17º
8º
28
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 18% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Abtswind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JRE
3 - 2
TSV
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 3
WUR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 2
TSV
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 2
KOR
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 4
TSV
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ATSV Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 1
ASV
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ATS
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
3 - 0
NEU
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 2
ATS
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 2
ATS
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |