Wörsdorf vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WOR
3 - 1
FVB
59%
21%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
3 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
SVB
0 - 1
ESC
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
HES
5 - 1
SVB
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
1 - 1
SCN
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
2 - 0
BAU
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
VIK
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |