Wörsdorf vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
0 - 3
WOR
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WOR
3 - 4
KKA
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
FUL
0 - 1
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WOR
0 - 1
WUR
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FSV
3 - 0
WOR
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FER
2 - 1
FRA
28%
23%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 2
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
BAY
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 3
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |