TSG Dülmen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Dülmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 0
TSG
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
TSG
2 - 1
VFK
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
WHE
1 - 1
TSG
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
TSG
2 - 1
LIP
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
STA
6 - 2
TSG
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ERK
3 - 1
SPL
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ERK
0 - 1
ERH
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 0
ERK
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ERK
3 - 2
VFK
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WHE
1 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |