TSG Backnang vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
15º
11º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 2
TSB
25%
22%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TSB
2 - 0
RAV
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 1
TSB
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TSB
1 - 1
NOR
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
TSB
62%
18%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REU
5 - 1
TSV
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 4
TSV
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
RAV
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
TSV
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +2 |