TSG Backnang vs SV Fellbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
16º
16º
10
2º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 0
TSB
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 0
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 0
TSB
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 5
SVS
7%
14%
79%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
STU
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
SV Fellbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 1
NOT
18%
21%
60%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +6 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 0
SSV
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
SVF
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |