TSG Backnang vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+127%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
13º
18º
13º
45
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
4 - 0
TSB
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TSB
4 - 2
FRE
71%
17%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
1 - 1
TSB
81%
14%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
TSB
1 - 2
SGS
26%
23%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
REU
2 - 1
TSB
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 4
BIS
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 4
NOT
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 1
NOT
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
FRE
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
1 - 1
NOT
82%
14%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |