TSG Backnang vs Leinfelden-Echterdingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+141%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
16º
16º
8
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCZ
3 - 4
TSB
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 3
SGS
12%
20%
68%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 2
BAL
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
FSV
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
TSB
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 2
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
LEI
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 6
NOT
19%
18%
63%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
REU
2 - 2
LEI
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 1
BIS
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |