TSG Backnang vs FC Holzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
15º
11º
36
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 0
TSB
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 0
TSB
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 2
NOT
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 0
TSB
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TSB
3 - 2
BIS
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Holzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 1
VIL
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 0
FCH
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 1
OFF
66%
17%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAV
3 - 1
FCH
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 2
REU
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |