TSG Backnang vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
15º
11º
36
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 1
TSB
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSB
1 - 1
PFO
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TSB
3 - 1
1FC
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OFF
3 - 0
TSB
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TSB
2 - 1
NEC
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
DEN
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 3
DEN
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
SCL
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
DEN
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -5 |