TSG Backnang vs TSG Balingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
16º
16º
27
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 65% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
FSV
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
TSB
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 1
SVF
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 0
TSB
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 0
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
BAL
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
REU
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |