Hoffenheim vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HOF
2 - 0
BYM
15%
19%
67%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FSV
0 - 18
HOF
3%
9%
88%
|
87 | 8 | 79 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 2
HOF
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
4 - 2
HOF
45%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HOF
1 - 0
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
FHH
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 2
SPB
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |