Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
16º
15º
33
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 7% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
HOF
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
M05
2 - 0
HOF
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 0
HOF
42%
24%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HOF
4 - 3
RBL
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
HOF
31%
24%
46%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 1
SCF
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
MON
45%
24%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
SCF
26%
23%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |