Hoffenheim vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SVS
2 - 1
HOF
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TUS
0 - 0
HOF
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
HOF
0 - 2
WEH
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
HOF
2 - 4
FEU
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
OFC
6 - 2
HOF
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 1
ELV
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
OFC
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
FEU
2 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SSV
4 - 1
NOT
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MAI
0 - 1
NOT
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |