Hoffenheim vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
2 - 2
BAY
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
1 - 4
HOF
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
2 - 0
SAA
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
4 - 0
HOF
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
HOF
0 - 0
ERF
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
KSC
1 - 0
SGF
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KSC
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
KSC
3 - 1
COT
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2003 |
M05
1 - 1
KSC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
KSC
0 - 0
WAC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |