Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
15º
9º
6
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Europa League
|
6% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 1
HOF
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
3 - 2
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 2
HOF
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 2
FUL
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 1
IPS
65%
20%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 3
RBL
41%
24%
35%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
0 - 1
LEV
7%
15%
79%
|
97 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
LEV
14%
20%
66%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
STU
63%
20%
18%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
BET
74%
17%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |