Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen analysis

Hoffenheim B. Leverkusen
76 ELO 86
12.4% Tilt 11.1%
113º General ELO ranking
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.8%
Hoffenheim
24.2%
Draw
46%
B. Leverkusen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
Hoffenheim
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hoffenheim
-1%
+3%
B. Leverkusen

ELO progression

Hoffenheim
B. Leverkusen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2009
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
33%
26%
41%
77 71 6 0
31 Jan. 2009
HOF
Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Energie Cottbus
COT
59%
22%
19%
77 72 5 0
14 Dec. 2008
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
29%
25%
46%
76 87 11 +1
05 Dec. 2008
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
76%
15%
9%
76 91 15 0
29 Nov. 2008
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
56%
23%
21%
76 73 3 0

Matches

B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2009
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 4
Stuttgart
STU
47%
24%
29%
86 85 1 0
31 Jan. 2009
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
34%
26%
41%
86 83 3 0
28 Jan. 2009
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Energie Cottbus
COT
73%
17%
10%
85 72 13 +1
13 Dec. 2008
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Energie Cottbus
COT
73%
17%
10%
85 72 13 0
06 Dec. 2008
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen
LEV
20%
23%
57%
85 72 13 0
X