Hartberg II vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+388%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
8º
6º
15
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 3
UGA
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
LEB
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAF
1 - 4
TSH
43%
21%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
5 - 1
LAF
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 3
TUS
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 2
TUS
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCS
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ILZ
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |