Hartberg II vs SC Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
30
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HGK
3 - 3
TSH
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TSH
3 - 0
GNA
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SVW
1 - 3
TSH
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
ILZ
28%
21%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 2
TSH
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 4
SVF
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
3 - 0
SCB
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 0
LEB
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 1
SCB
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 3
KAL
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |