Hartberg II vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
44
1º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
UGA
3 - 1
TSH
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 5
TSH
64%
17%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 2
SVF
77%
14%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
3 - 3
TSH
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 0
LEB
42%
21%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 3
SVF
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
1 - 0
FEH
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FEH
4 - 3
LEB
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 2
FEH
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 1
KAL
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |