TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
15º
6º
14
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 69 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 64 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 64 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 63 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 49 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 45 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 40 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 39 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 31 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 31 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 26 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 18 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TRT
5 - 2
FLE
22%
19%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 3
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
WEF
88%
8%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ECK
2 - 1
FLE
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 1
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
ECK
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 5
TOD
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 1
NOR
64%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |