TSB Flensburg vs SV Frisia 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
10º
5º
24
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 1
GWS
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
FLE
11%
15%
75%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 1
WEF
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
TOD
31%
22%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ECK
1 - 2
FLE
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Frisia 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 5
TOD
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 1
FRI
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
UNI
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 3
FRI
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 2
BOR
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |