TSB Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
4º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
VFR
91%
7%
2%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
FLE
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
BOR
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
6 - 3
ITK
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 1
HOH
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 2
LUB
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 4
OLD
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 6
LUB
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
6 - 0
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |