TSB Flensburg vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
10º
5º
81
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ITK
2 - 1
FLE
18%
18%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 1
LUB
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
EIC
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 4
FLE
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
PAN
83%
10%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 1
ECK
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KIL
3 - 3
TOD
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ITK
3 - 4
KIL
56%
19%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 6
KIL
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
0 - 3
EIC
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |