TSB Flensburg vs Inter Turkspor Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
4º
29
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
1 - 5
FLE
14%
16%
70%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 0
EIC
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLE
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
HEI
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
FLE
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Turkspor Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ITK
3 - 0
LUB
55%
19%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ITK
3 - 1
WEF
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
2 - 1
ITK
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ITK
1 - 3
HOH
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |