TSB Flensburg vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
FLE
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEI
5 - 1
FLE
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FLE
3 - 0
KIL
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TSV
0 - 2
FLE
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
FLE
10%
17%
73%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
HAR
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 3
TSV
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
KIL
1 - 3
HAR
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
UNI
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |