TSB Flensburg vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
5 - 0
OLD
73%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 0
HUL
82%
12%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 2
FLE
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 0
HEI
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 0
FLE
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
KRO
3 - 1
HAR
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FLE
11%
16%
74%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
VFR
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EUT
6 - 1
HAR
84%
10%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 3
HAR
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |