TS Sporting vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
TSS
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TSG
0 - 0
TSS
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TSS
2 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 0
RKF
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BPC
0 - 0
TSS
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 2
RIB
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 2
FRE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
COS
1 - 2
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
FRE
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FRE
2 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |