TS Polonia Bytom vs Zagłębie Lubin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
14º
1º
6
13º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
21 | 69 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 58 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 55 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
68% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 1
TSP
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
3 - 1
RES
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAG
4 - 0
LKS
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RES
3 - 3
ZAG
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 3
REK
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
ZAG
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
5 - 1
ZAG
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |