TS Polonia Bytom vs Olimpia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
14º
3º
11
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
48% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
TSP
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
WIE
3 - 1
TSP
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
HUT
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 2
TSP
16%
24%
61%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TSP
3 - 0
KAL
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HUT
2 - 1
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
KAL
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
ZAG
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RES
2 - 2
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |