TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
13º
10º
70
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
MPU
1 - 0
TSG
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SWA
0 - 0
TSG
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TSG
0 - 0
SFC
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
RKF
0 - 0
TSG
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
TSG
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
SSU
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 2
SUN
22%
27%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWA
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |